Shock Thoughts

The San Francisco Chronicle called Ron Shock one of the greatest American storytellers.
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This is Ron's spot for an ongoing dialog with the world. Updated as frequently as you need...

Saturday, July 21, 2007

THE FIX IS IN

all sports fans have read about the nba official possibly fixing games to affect the point spread. i don't know how many nba games are fixed but i know for a fact that some nfl games have been fixed in the past. you will notice that i said KNOW and not think, believe or assume. here is how i know:

in the early 90's i met a bookie who carried a ten thousand dollar book in a town in the midwest. he used to come to my shows and we struck up a friendship. over the course of a couple of years he told me games to bet on and told me to bet as much as i wanted just don't bet with him because the fix was in. EVERY GAME HE GAVE ME TURNED EXACTLY AS HE SAID IT WOULD.

when i asked him how they did it, he said that he didn't know, only that it was fixed. he then went on to tell me WHY they did it and that information was very interesting. the sports books in vegas have NOTHING to do with this, it is the mob doing it to protect their bookies across the country. in vegas when you place a bet, you put your money down. if you lose, they already have your money. if you win, they collect their vig. if, however, you bet with your local bookie (and every town of any size whatsoever has bookies) he does not collect your money at time of bet. if you win, the bookie ALWAYS pays. sometimes the losers do not pay their debt and over the course of a year bookies will have x amount of uncollected debts. many bookies are, in a way, a franchise of the mob and they "fade off" some of their bets. what this means is if you are running a book of ten grand, whenever the incoming bets get more than that, you then move that bet up the ladder and a guy with a much bigger book will help you cover it for a percentage of the winnings. every bookie that has a large enough "book" knows who to go to for coverage and the people they go to are affliated with the mob and that is how those things go. in my opinion, there is nothing wrong with that. there is something wrong with fixing the games but since i knew which was it was going i decided not to let my morals get involved.

just another thought, i think they use the offensive and defensive co-ordinators to do the fix. if you, as a defensive co-ordinator, know what the offensive is going to run on a given play you can stop it every time. conversely, if the offensive guy knows what defense is going in, he can beat it every time.

anyway, that is why i don't bet sports.

3 Comments:

Blogger The Rooster said...

Is there an easier rig in all of sports than a basketball referee manipulating the over/under?

Seriously, this is the perfect rig. Bet the over. Put both teams on the foul line 40 times a game. You're going to get astronomical odds in your favor.

I gotta go fill out my NBA referee application now.

7:10 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Not being a gambler but curious, since this situation came to light has there been an increase in the odds to adjust the winning payout for the increased risk the punter is taking? Even if a game is rigged there can only be one winner so a cheating referee is really just an extra unknown variable it would seem that could be accommodated for by payouts reflecting the new variable.

7:20 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Actually, if you assume that the new variables are accommodated by the old ones, you can minimize the risk associated with the punter (assuming he doesn't shank the ball), unless the variables are totally unknown, in which case the fix might be in and you would never know, except when you could account for most of the uncertainty and could then ascertain that the game was, in fact, rigged (or at least, prone to increasing rigamortis).

7:56 PM  

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